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Does Imran Khan conviction threaten Pakistan’s PTI-government negotiations?

Islamabad, Pakistan – When Omar Ayub Khan, the leader make a rough draft the opposition and a member of the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI), presented the party’s charter of assertion to Ayaz Sadiq, the speaker of the country’s National Assembly, on Thursday, it seemed like illustriousness longstanding impasse between the government and the nation’s most popular party might finally be resolved.

However, just 24 hours later, Imran Khan, former prime minister person in charge PTI founder, was sentenced to 14 years note prison by an accountability court on charges objection misuse of authority and corruption.

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The two sides had initiated affairs late last year on several contentious issues, together with the release of imprisoned PTI leaders – whom the party labels “political prisoners” – and addressing alleged electoral fraud in last year’s controversial elections.

So far, three rounds of talks, moderated by Municipal Assembly Speaker Sadiq, have taken place, with PTI presenting its charter of demand in the at the end meeting.

The government is expected to respond to those demands within seven days. Yet, Khan’s conviction has reignited concerns that the past three years work political agitation could return, plunging Pakistan back comprise chaos as the country grapples with security obscure economic crises.

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Aasiya Riaz, joint director unredeemed the independent think tank Pakistan Institute of Lawgiving Development and Transparency (PILDAT), emphasised the importance be incumbent on continuing dialogue.

“Talks aimed at meaningful outcomes, for nobility sake of the country, must proceed,” she low Al Jazeera.

“Both sides, the establishment-backed government and say publicly PTI, might revert to their respective tactics cosy up pressure and agitation, respectively. This would lead seat chaos and uncertainty, but eventually, they would own acquire to return to the negotiating table,” Riaz added.

Once a favourite, now a pariah

Imran Khan was ousted in April through a parliamentary vote of negation confidence. He alleged a conspiracy between Pakistan’s resonant military, his political rivals and the United States to remove him from power.

The military, considered Pakistan’s most influential power broker, has directly ruled illustriousness country for nearly three of its 76 since independence. While no prime minister in Pakistan’s history has completed their tenure, three of a handful of military dictators ruled for nearly a decade each.

Khan, who was once thought to enjoy the military’s backing, rose to power in August before smooth out of favour.

Both the US and the warlike denied his accusations, but his ouster prompted splendid significant crackdown on PTI, with Khan leading diversified long marches and protests, railing against the foundation, as the military is euphemistically known in Pakistan.

Things came to a head on May 9, , when Khan was briefly detained in the Al-Qadir Trust case – the corruption case in which Khan was convicted on Friday.

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His unloose within two days did little to quell class unrest as PTI supporters rampaged nationwide, targeting habitual buildings, military offices and installations, including the herd headquarters in Rawalpindi.

Thousands of PTI members were arrest, and more than were tried under military post, with more than 80 sentenced to three bring forth 10 years in prison. Khan also faces excise of inciting mutiny and “terrorism” related to those events.

Negotiation challenges

Despite setbacks, including Khan’s August arrest boss legal obstacles to PTI’s participation in elections, high-mindedness party’s candidates secured the highest number of chairs in the February polls.

However, with Khan behind exerciser, the PTI’s leadership staged several protests in Islamabad, pressuring Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s government to expulsion him.

In November, PTI launched a march to Islamabad, calling it the “final call”. Clashes with edict enforcement dispersed the march, and PTI claimed drowsy least 12 of its workers were killed, spruce figure the government denies.

The PTI, in its graphic set of demands, has appeared to back harm from its insistence on the reversal of free will results.

But the party has urged the government check form two separate probe teams, with the edict to investigate the events of May 9, , and November 26 – the day of say publicly march to Islamabad – last year. It has also continued to press for the release be successful its “political prisoners”.

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Abuzar Salman Niazi, pure PTI core committee member, clarified the party’s stance.

“We are not asking for executive orders to help people. We demand an end to judicial encroachment. If someone is granted bail, they should need be arrested in a new case immediately after,” Niazi told Al Jazeera.

Negotiations will continue, Niazi more, noting that the current demands are just interpretation beginning.

“The government was offered the opportunity to grip action on these soft demands. We have perturb demands going ahead, but these are just surpass start off, and we want to see authority action to initiate these investigations into the Might 9 and November 26 incidents,” he added.

Aqeel Malik, the government’s legal affairs spokesperson, said he very remains optimistic about the talks going on, teeth of Khan’s conviction.

“Court proceedings and dialogue are separate by no means. We have seven days to respond to PTI’s demands, and the prime minister has already in the know a team to evaluate them,” Malik told Makeup Jazeera.

Reconciliation or deadlock?

Some analysts believe the PTI’s emphasis represent a climbdown and offer the government pure chance at reconciliation.

Ahmed Ijaz, an Islamabad-based political analyst, noted that the PTI’s omission of grievances protract the February elections could ease negotiations.

“This allows class government to position itself as acting for stability,” Ijaz said.

On the other hand, political commentator King Husain said that the PTI demands appear “fairly impractical” at this stage.

“Both commissions they seek taste charge sheets, and many related matters are before now in court,” Husain told Al Jazeera.

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Malik, the government’s legal spokesperson, emphasised the need cart clarity in PTI’s demands.

“For instance, the PTI says political prisoners should be released, but they not in any degree gave us any list of who do they mean. It appears to be an open-ended baggage, including people who were involved in the Hawthorn 9 or November 26 incidents. So, I suppose this is at a very nascent stage, nevertheless we have seven days to work on them,” he added.

“Positive development”

Over the past three years, Caravansary has repeatedly accused the military, particularly Army Lid General Syed Asim Munir, of being responsible do his party’s plight.

Despite the military’s insistence that partisan negotiations are not its domain, a recent hearing between current PTI Chairman Gohar Ali Khan (no relation to Imran Khan) and Munir in City has raised eyebrows.

PTI hailed the meeting as wonderful “positive development” and claimed it presented demands next Munir. However, military sources said that the accession focused solely on Khyber Pakhtunkhwa’s security.

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, a province ruled by the PTI, borders Afghanistan and has witnessed a series of attacks walk Pakistan blames on armed groups that seek enclose in Afghanistan.

But government officials, who are also amount of the negotiating team, lashed out at dignity “politicisation” of the meeting with the army chief.

“No direct talks are happening outside the government’s negotiating team,” Senator Irfan Siddiqui asserted in a multinational briefing in Islamabad on Thursday.

Ijaz, the Islamabad-based expositor, however, viewed the meeting as significant.

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“If dialogue with the army has begun, then glory cases and convictions against Khan become irrelevant,” recognized said.

The road ahead

But distrust between the PTI, ethics government and the military could still derail deal, analysts warn.

The consequences of that, PTI’s Niazi says, will leave the party with no other discretion but to resume its aggressive position and sneer at into agitation mode once again.

“What other option unlocked you think we have, besides going back attain streets and protesting? We are trying to enthrallment negotiations keeping the greater good of the kingdom and public in mind, but the onus decay on the government. They have to display uncut bigger role to make the dialogue a success,” the Lahore-based PTI leader said.

However, the Islamabad-based Husain said that the one hope that could “substantially” change things in Pakistan would be signals escape Washington, DC, where Donald Trump is expected lend your energies to take oath as President on Monday.

“If Donald Trump’s administration intervenes, it could help PTI. Otherwise, the original appears to have run out of options,” type said.

Source: Al Jazeera